The latest I&I/TIPP poll has conveyed a hilarious lack of support for President Joe BIden’s candidacy in the 2024 Democratic Presidential Primary. Only just over one third of the polled Democrats (37%), support him in the primary. This survey listed a string of other prospective challengers; from former first lady Michelle Obama to Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT). The thirty-seven percent support for Joe Biden is notably a two-point drop from the thirty-nine percent of Democrats who claimed they would support him last month.
However, Biden’s severe lack of majority support wasn’t a loss for him. No other potential candidate listed on the survey came close to his ratings. Michelle Obama came in a distant second, having only ten percent of Democrats supporting her possible candidacy. Sanders was in third with nine percent, Vice President Kamala Harris with six percent, Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) with five percent, and Hillary Clinton and California Governor Gavin Newson with four percent each. Robbery Kennedy Jr., who formally was in the race, had only three percent support, up from the two percent he faced in May of 2023.
Furthermore, not everyone could even choose from the running. Fifteen percent chose “other”, while another seven percent remained unsure. These ratings aren’t uncommon for a survey like this, however. The pollster noted that Biden often wins majority support when the choices are slimmed to the rough selection of him, Kennedy, and Marianne Williamson.
Issues & Insights (I&I) said: “But an interesting thing happens when you narrow the choices to just Biden and the two newcomers who are often touted in the media as potential outside challengers: Kennedy, and author and politician Marianne Williamson. Then, Biden gets 68% support, compared to 12% for Kennedy and just 4% for Williamson, with 4% saying “someone else” and 12% saying “not sure.”
So, it seems fairly clear that, at least for now, Biden’s main competition will come from the established political names among his challengers, not from the edges or a surprise outside candidacy.”
This poll was taken May 31st to June 2nd, six hundred thirty-eight Democrats and Democrat-leaning independents voted. It has a +/- four percent margin of error.
Meanwhile, another survey was held for Republicans. Trump sees significantly greater support on his Republican base, leading the GOP primary with majority support.
“TIPP POLL: Trump holds 36-point lead for Republican Nomination.
• Trump — 55% (+36)
• DeSantis — 19%
• Pence — 6%
• Haley — 3%
• T. Scott — 3%
• Ramaswamy — 2%
• Sununu — 2%
TIPP (A-) | May 31-June 2 | 482 RV” InteractivePolls said on Twitter, attacking a link to an Issues & Insights article.
The survey arrives as questions about whether both Biden’s age and health are going to suffice moving forward still linger. Another survey posted last week from the Economist/YouGov, for instance, found a multitude of American adults expressing a belief that Biden’s age and health may “severely” affect his capability in doing his job.
Breitbart News reported: “A plurality, 45 percent, said they believe both “severely” limit his ability to do the job, followed by 34 percent who believe it has “little effect on his ability to do the job,” and 11 percent who said it has “no effect at all.” Another ten percent remain unsure.
“Predictably, 77 percent of Republicans believe Biden’s age and health severely limit his ability to do the job as president — a sentiment shared by a plurality of independents, 48 percent, and 13 percent of Democrats. Notably, 56 percent of Democrats still said it has “little effect” on his ability to do the job, compared to 22 percent who asserted it has no effect whatsoever.
“Notably, 14 percent of Biden 2020 voters believe it severely limits Biden’s ability to do the job as well.”
The survey’s release also followed Biden’s comical fall at the U.S. Air Force Academy’s commencement ceremony, which only added to the mounting concerns about Biden’s, an 80-year-old, health and capabilities lately, and in the future.
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